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Tropical Storm KATRINA


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122005
1500Z WED AUG 24 2005
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM VERO
BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY. THIS REPLACES THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE NORTHWARD TO SOUTH
OF FLORIDA CITY.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
A WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE LATER TODAY.
A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  76.7W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  76.7W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  76.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 25.4N  77.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.9N  78.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.0N  79.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.1N  80.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.3N  82.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 27.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 29.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  76.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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