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Hurricane IRENE


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092005
0300Z TUE AUG 16 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N  64.4W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  85 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N  64.4W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.6N  65.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 37.1N  62.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 38.2N  59.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 40.4N  56.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 43.5N  51.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...125NE 225SE 150SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 52.0N  40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 325SE 200SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 58.0N  32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.6N  64.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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