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Hurricane IRENE


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092005
1500Z MON AUG 15 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N  67.2W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N  67.2W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.3N  67.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 37.4N  65.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 38.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 40.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 42.0N  56.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 49.0N  46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 57.0N  38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.5N  67.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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