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Tropical Storm IRENE


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092005
1500Z SUN AUG 14 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  69.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  60SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE  75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  69.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.1N  70.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 35.1N  69.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 37.0N  67.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.6N  64.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 39.7N  61.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 42.5N  54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 49.5N  43.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N  69.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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