Tropical Storm IRENE

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TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092005
2100Z SAT AUG 13 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  69.5W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE  75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  69.5W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  69.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 32.5N  70.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 34.5N  70.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.5N  69.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 40.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 43.5N  53.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 48.0N  42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  69.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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