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Tropical Storm IRENE


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092005
0900Z MON AUG 08 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  48.9W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  48.9W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  48.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.6N  50.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.4N  52.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.2N  54.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.1N  55.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 27.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 33.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N  48.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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