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Tropical Storm EMILY


ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052005
0900Z TUE JUL 12 2005
 
INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
EMILY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  48.6W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  48.6W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  48.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 12.0N  50.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 12.9N  53.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 13.6N  56.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.4N  59.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 85NE  70SE  70SW  85NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 20.0N  77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N  48.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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