Tropical Storm DENNIS

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TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042005
2100Z TUE JUL 05 2005
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HAITI HAS CHANGED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH.
 
ALSO AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.
 
ALSO AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA.
 
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  68.3W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  68.3W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  67.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.4N  70.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.0N  73.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.4N  75.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.9N  78.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.0N  82.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 26.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N  68.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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