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Tropical Storm ARLENE


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012005
2100Z THU JUN 09 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  84.2W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  84.2W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  84.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.5N  84.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.5N  87.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.5N  88.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 34.5N  87.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 40.0N  83.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED 
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  84.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB
 
 
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