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Hurricane OPHELIA


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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005
 
OPHELIA IS CONTINUING NORTHEASTWARD LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. 
THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE
REMAINING MINIMAL CONVECTION...AND A TROUGH OR POSSIBLE FRONTAL
BAND CONTINUES TO FORM SOUTH OF THE CENTER.  OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN THE NEXT 12 HR... BUT MAINTAIN GALE TO
POSSIBLY STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
 
THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 050/21.  OPHELIA SHOULD ACCELERATE
NORTHEAST NEAR OR ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND...THEN MOVE
GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN THE FAST
WESTERLY FLOW.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      17/2100Z 42.4N  66.3W    50 KT
 12HR VT     18/0600Z 44.8N  62.6W    50 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     18/1800Z 47.7N  56.5W    45 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     19/0600Z 49.8N  50.4W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     19/1800Z 51.4N  43.2W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     20/1800Z 55.0N  28.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     21/1800Z 60.5N  14.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT     22/1800Z 66.0N   7.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
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