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Hurricane OPHELIA


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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005
 
OPHELIA IS CONTINUING NORTHEASTWARD AND GRADUALLY LOSING TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS.  THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS BECOMING EXPOSED TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION...AND A TROUGH OR POSSIBLE FRONTAL BAND
IS FORMING SOUTH OF THE CENTER.  OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL IN THE NEXT 12-24 HR...BUT MAINTAIN GALE TO POSSIBLY
STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 040/18.  OPHELIA SHOULD ACCELERATE NORTHEAST
ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND...THEN MOVE GENERALLY
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN THE FAST WESTERLY
FLOW.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      17/1500Z 40.7N  69.0W    50 KT
 12HR VT     18/0000Z 43.4N  65.3W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     18/1200Z 46.4N  59.8W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     19/0000Z 48.8N  53.8W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     19/1200Z 50.5N  47.0W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     20/1200Z 54.0N  32.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     21/1200Z 59.0N  16.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT     22/1200Z 64.0N   7.5W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
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