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Tropical Storm LEE


ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE DISCUSSION NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 01 2005
 
THE DEPRESSION CONSISTS OF A VIGOROUS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A
TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS DEFINING THE CENTER. THE CONVECTION IS
LIMITED TO A BAND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS
MORE TYPICAL OF A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE...BUT BECAUSE THERE IS A
CHANCE THAT SOME CONVECTION REDEVELOPS NEAR THE CENTER...IT IS
OPTED TO KEEP THE SYSTEM AS A 30-KNOT TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT THIS
TIME. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND THE DEPRESSION MAY BE A
REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.   

LEE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KNOTS.
THE CYCLONE IS A SHALLOW SYSTEM SO IT SHOULD MOVE ON A GENERAL
NORTHWARD TRACK STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A
SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTERED TO THE EAST OF THE DEPRESSION.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      01/2100Z 32.4N  51.5W    30 KT
 12HR VT     02/0600Z 32.9N  51.7W    25 KT
 24HR VT     02/1800Z 34.0N  52.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     03/0600Z 35.5N  52.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     03/1800Z 37.5N  52.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 72HR VT     04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
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