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Tropical Storm JOSE


ZCZC MIATCDAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JOSE DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE AUG 23 2005
 
DATA FROM THE RADAR AT ALVARADO MEXICO INDICATED THAT JOSE BECAME
BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE LAST TWO HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL...WITH AN
EYE FORMING.  JUST HOW STRONG THE STORM GOT BEFORE LANDFALL IS
UNKNOWN...AS AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE THE EYE STARTED TO FORM TRMM
DATA SHOWED THE CENTER WAS PARTLY EXPOSED AND AIRCRAFT DATA SHOWED
JOSE WELL SHORT OF HURRICANE STRENGTH.  SINCE LANDFALL...BOTH THE
SATELLITE AND RADAR SIGNATURES HAVE WEAKENED...AND JOSE SHOULD
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN UNTIL IT DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF
EASTERN MEXICO IN 24-36 HR.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/8.  JOSE IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A
MID-LEVEL RIDGE...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL
DISSIPATION.

THE RAINFALL THREAT WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER DAY OR TWO AS
JOSE OR ITS REMNANTS TRAVERSE MEXICO.  THE COASTAL WARNING WILL
LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED AT 7 AM.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      23/0900Z 19.8N  97.1W    35 KT
 12HR VT     23/1800Z 19.9N  98.3W    25 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     24/0600Z 20.1N  99.8W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 36HR VT     24/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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