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Tropical Storm BRET


ZCZC MIATCDAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BRET DISCUSSION NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED JUN 29 2005
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT BRET HAS MOVED INLAND
JUST SOUTH OF...OR VERY NEAR...TUXPAN. ALTHOUGH SATELLITE IMAGES
STILL SHOW A WELL-ORGANIZED CLOUD PATTERN...WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED
AND BRET IS BEING DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. THERE
MIGHT BE SOME TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OVER WATER.

BRET IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ABOUT
7 KNOTS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER FARTHER INLAND AND
DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. THE CYCLONE HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS PRIMARILY IN THE MOUNTAINS.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      29/1500Z 21.0N  97.6W    30 KT
 12HR VT     30/0000Z 21.5N  98.5W    25 KT...INLAND DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     30/1200Z...DISSIPATED 
 
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