Hurricane JEANNE

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 16 2004

...JEANNE MOVING SLOWLY ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF
HISPANIOLA FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO
DOMINGO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST OR ABOUT 65
MILES... 100 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH
... 9 KM/HR...AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE NEAR OR ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...AND BE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
LATER ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE. JEAN HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH
AFTER IT MOVES OFF THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  A
RAINBAND TRAILING JEANNE IS LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
OF PUERTO RICO AND IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...OVER
PORTIONS OF THAT ISLAND.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...19.4 N... 69.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
AST.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
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