ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANCES INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 48A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT SUN SEP 05 2004 ...FRANCES CONTINUES OVER FLORIDA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO DESTIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM SOUTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO OCEAN REEF INCLUDING ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCES WAS LOCATED BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.3 WEST. THIS POSITION IS OVER WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA ABOUT 15 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF TAMPA. FRANCES HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION NEAR 8 MPH OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF FRANCESIS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE WATERS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS BUT FRANCES COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES CONTINUE ALONG THE NORTH FLORIDA EAST COAST BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE ON MONDAY. ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE PATH OF FRANCES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE PATH OF THE STORM. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... TO NEAR 20 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES ALONG FRANCES WIDE PATH. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH FLORIDA TODAY. REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...28.1 N... 82.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 06-Sep-2004 00:02:41 UTC