Tropical Storm EARL

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN AUG 15 2004

...EARL CONTINUING TO MOVE QUICKLY TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST.
VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS
DEPENDENCIES...AND ST. LUCIA.  INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  59.1 WEST OR ABOUT 
105 MILES... 170 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. THIS IS 
ALSO ABOUT  175 MILES...285 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRENADA AND
ABOUT 95 MILES...150 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF TOBAGO.
 
EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR...AND A MOTION
TO THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE STORM WILL MOVE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS LATER TODAY.  WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
EARL.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...11.7 N... 59.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 25 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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