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Tropical Storm BONNIE (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED AUG 11 2004

...BONNIE SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED...CONTINUING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM DESTIN EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH
OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM WEST OF DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 
260 MILES SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
 
BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BONNIE IS
EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA
THURSDAY MORNING.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE THAT
BONNIE HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED AND THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...AND BONNIE MAY
BRIEFLY BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE EXTRAPOLATED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS
1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. 
STORM SURGE FLOODING COULD BE 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IN APALACHEE BAY.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH BONNIE.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY OVER
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...27.4 N... 88.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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