Tropical Storm MATTHEW

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TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT OCT 09 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  91.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.5N  90.9W      33  X  X  X 33   BURAS LA          40  X  X  X 40
33.5N  91.0W      12  6  1  X 19   NEW ORLEANS LA    49  X  X  X 49
36.0N  91.5W       X 10  3  X 13   NEW IBERIA LA     45  X  X  X 45
ST MARKS FL        X  1  2  X  3   PORT ARTHUR TX     2  X  1  X  3
APALACHICOLA FL    X  2  2  X  4   GULF 29N 85W       X  2  1  X  3
PANAMA CITY FL     X  3  2  X  5   GULF 29N 87W       3  4  X  X  7
PENSACOLA FL       4  6  1  X 11   GULF 28N 89W      15  X  X  X 15
MOBILE AL         16  2  X  X 18   GULF 28N 91W      99  X  X  X 99
GULFPORT MS       27  1  X  X 28   GULF 28N 93W      39  X  X  X 39
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
C FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
D FROM  1PM MON TO  1PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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