ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 46 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT MON SEP 13 2004 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT THU SEP 16 2004 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 24.2N 86.7W 39 X X X 39 ST MARKS FL X X 5 8 13 26.1N 87.6W 9 20 1 X 30 APALACHICOLA FL X 1 8 6 15 28.2N 87.7W X 16 7 2 25 PANAMA CITY FL X 1 10 6 17 MUHA 230N 824W 1 1 X X 2 PENSACOLA FL X 1 13 5 19 MUAN 219N 850W 99 X X X 99 MOBILE AL X 1 14 4 19 FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2 GULFPORT MS X 2 13 5 20 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 3 3 BURAS LA X 6 12 3 21 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 5 5 NEW ORLEANS LA X 2 12 4 18 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 6 6 NEW IBERIA LA X 1 7 5 13 SAVANNAH GA X X X 5 5 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 1 6 7 CHARLESTON SC X X X 3 3 GALVESTON TX X X X 4 4 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X X X 3 3 KEY WEST FL X X 1 1 2 GULF 29N 85W X 2 9 5 16 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 2 3 GULF 29N 87W X 7 13 2 22 FT MYERS FL X X 1 3 4 GULF 28N 89W X 17 6 1 24 VENICE FL X X 2 4 6 GULF 28N 91W X 7 7 3 17 TAMPA FL X X 2 5 7 GULF 28N 93W X 1 3 4 8 CEDAR KEY FL X X 3 6 9 GULF 28N 95W X X X 3 3 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED C FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED D FROM 2PM WED TO 2PM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER STEWART $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 13-Sep-2004 20:54:17 UTC