Hurricane FRANCES
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TROPICAL STORM FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 05 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT WED SEP 8 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.7N 85.0W 50 X X X 50 TAMPA FL 99 X X X 99
31.5N 86.0W 17 17 1 X 35 CEDAR KEY FL 77 X X X 77
32.5N 86.0W 3 24 1 X 28 ST MARKS FL 50 X X X 50
COCOA BEACH FL 63 X X X 63 APALACHICOLA FL 50 X X X 50
DAYTONA BEACH FL 37 X X X 37 PANAMA CITY FL 43 X X X 43
JACKSONVILLE FL 13 1 X 1 15 PENSACOLA FL 11 16 X X 27
SAVANNAH GA X 3 4 5 12 MOBILE AL 1 15 1 1 18
CHARLESTON SC X X 3 7 10 GULFPORT MS X 8 2 1 11
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 7 8 BURAS LA X 3 1 1 5
WILMINGTON NC X X X 6 6 NEW ORLEANS LA X 2 2 1 5
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 85W 48 X X X 48
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W 16 5 X X 21
NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X 1 X 1 2
VENICE FL 99 X X X 99
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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