| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Hurricane FRANCES (Text)


ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 05 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED SEP  8 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.8N  83.6W      46  X  X  X 46   VENICE FL         46  X  X  X 46
29.9N  84.8W      23  6  X  1 30   TAMPA FL          65  X  X  X 65
31.5N  85.9W       X 16  5  1 22   CEDAR KEY FL      51  X  X  X 51
W PALM BEACH FL   99  X  X  X 99   ST MARKS FL       27  4  X  X 31
FT PIERCE FL      99  X  X  X 99   APALACHICOLA FL   22  6  1  X 29
COCOA BEACH FL    99  X  X  X 99   PANAMA CITY FL     9 14  1  X 24
DAYTONA BEACH FL  49  X  X  X 49   PENSACOLA FL       X 13  4  1 18
JACKSONVILLE FL   25  X  X  1 26   MOBILE AL          X  5  8  2 15
SAVANNAH GA        3  7  3  2 15   GULFPORT MS        X  2  7  3 12
CHARLESTON SC      X  2  4  5 11   BURAS LA           X  1  4  2  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  2  5  7   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  4  3  7
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1  4  5   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  1  2  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 85W      27  2  X  X 29
MARCO ISLAND FL    1  X  X  1  2   GULF 29N 87W       2 11  1  1 15
FT MYERS FL       32  X  X  X 32   GULF 28N 89W       X  2  1  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Sunday, 05-Sep-2004 08:43:02 UTC