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Hurricane FRANCES (Text)


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HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 04 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE SEP  7 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.3N  82.3W      48  X  X  X 48   VENICE FL         35  X  X  1 36
29.5N  84.1W      12 19  1  X 32   TAMPA FL          44  X  X  X 44
30.7N  85.8W       X 14  7  1 22   CEDAR KEY FL      37  3  X  X 40
MYGF 266N 787W    99  X  X  X 99   ST MARKS FL        4 25  X  1 30
MIAMI FL           9  X  X  X  9   APALACHICOLA FL    2 23  1  X 26
W PALM BEACH FL   99  X  X  X 99   PANAMA CITY FL     X 19  3  1 23
FT PIERCE FL      99  X  X  X 99   PENSACOLA FL       X  4 12  2 18
COCOA BEACH FL    69  X  X  X 69   MOBILE AL          X  1 10  4 15
DAYTONA BEACH FL  47  X  X  X 47   GULFPORT MS        X  X  8  5 13
JACKSONVILLE FL   25  5  X  X 30   BURAS LA           X  X  5  4  9
SAVANNAH GA        2 11  2  1 16   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  3  6  9
CHARLESTON SC      X  3  3  3  9   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  1  5  6
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1  5  6   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 85W       3 21  X  1 25
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W       X  7  7  1 15
MARCO ISLAND FL   21  X  X  X 21   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  3  2  5
FT MYERS FL       34  X  X  X 34   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  2  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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Page last modified: Sunday, 05-Sep-2004 02:43:01 UTC