Hurricane FRANCES
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HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 04 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT TUE SEP 7 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.3N 82.3W 48 X X X 48 VENICE FL 35 X X 1 36
29.5N 84.1W 12 19 1 X 32 TAMPA FL 44 X X X 44
30.7N 85.8W X 14 7 1 22 CEDAR KEY FL 37 3 X X 40
MYGF 266N 787W 99 X X X 99 ST MARKS FL 4 25 X 1 30
MIAMI FL 9 X X X 9 APALACHICOLA FL 2 23 1 X 26
W PALM BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 PANAMA CITY FL X 19 3 1 23
FT PIERCE FL 99 X X X 99 PENSACOLA FL X 4 12 2 18
COCOA BEACH FL 69 X X X 69 MOBILE AL X 1 10 4 15
DAYTONA BEACH FL 47 X X X 47 GULFPORT MS X X 8 5 13
JACKSONVILLE FL 25 5 X X 30 BURAS LA X X 5 4 9
SAVANNAH GA 2 11 2 1 16 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 3 6 9
CHARLESTON SC X 3 3 3 9 NEW IBERIA LA X X 1 5 6
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 5 6 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 85W 3 21 X 1 25
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X 7 7 1 15
MARCO ISLAND FL 21 X X X 21 GULF 28N 89W X X 3 2 5
FT MYERS FL 34 X X X 34 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 2 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
C FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
D FROM 8PM MON TO 8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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