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Hurricane FRANCES


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HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE AUG 31 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST FRI SEP  3 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
22.8N  71.4W      46  X  X  X 46   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1 15 16
24.0N  73.5W       9 24  X  1 34   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  1 14 15
25.2N  75.5W       X 16 11  1 28   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X 12 12
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  1  1  2   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  9  9
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  4  5   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  7  7
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  4  4   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  6  6
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  3  3   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  4  4
MDPP 198N 707W     2  X  X  X  2   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W    35  X  X  X 35   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  7  7
MYMM 224N 730W    25  5  X  X 30   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X 10 10
MYSM 241N 745W     1 27  1  X 29   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X 10 10
MYEG 235N 758W     X 15  6  1 22   VENICE FL          X  X  X  9  9
MYAK 241N 776W     X  2 12  4 18   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  9  9
MYNN 251N 775W     X  2 15  4 21   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  8  8
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  9 10 19   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  4  4
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  9 10   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  3  3
MIAMI FL           X  X  3 11 14   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  2  2
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  3 13 16   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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