Hurricane FRANCES
ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE AUG 31 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST FRI SEP 3 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
22.5N 71.0W 47 X X X 47 FT PIERCE FL X X 1 14 15
23.7N 73.3W 6 26 1 X 33 COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 13 14
25.0N 75.5W X 13 14 1 28 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 11 11
MUGM 200N 751W X 2 1 1 4 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 8 8
MUCM 214N 779W X X 3 4 7 SAVANNAH GA X X X 5 5
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 4 4 CHARLESTON SC X X X 5 5
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 3 3
MDPP 198N 707W 7 X X X 7 WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W 38 X X X 38 KEY WEST FL X X X 7 7
MYMM 224N 730W 17 13 X X 30 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 9 9
MYSM 241N 745W X 25 4 X 29 FT MYERS FL X X X 9 9
MYEG 235N 758W X 12 10 1 23 VENICE FL X X X 8 8
MYAK 241N 776W X 1 13 4 18 TAMPA FL X X X 8 8
MYNN 251N 775W X 1 16 4 21 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 6 6
MYGF 266N 787W X X 8 11 19 ST MARKS FL X X X 3 3
MARATHON FL X X 1 8 9 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2
MIAMI FL X X 2 12 14 GULF 29N 85W X X X 2 2
W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 13 15
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
NNNN