Hurricane FRANCES

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  52.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE AUG 31 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.4N  55.8W      56  X  X  X 56   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1 11 12
20.0N  58.0W      11 26  X  X 37   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  7  7
20.5N  60.5W       X 13 15  1 29   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  2  2
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  1  2  3   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X 10 10
80400 157N 636W    X  X  X  4  4   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  2  2
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  2  4  6   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1  9 10
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  6  5 11   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1 11 12
TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  4  7 11   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X 10 10
TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  5  9 14   PONCE PR           X  X  X  7  7
TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1  9 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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