Tropical Storm EARL

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TROPICAL STORM EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT AUG 14 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST TUE AUG 17 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.6N  63.5W      53  1  X  X 54   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X 16  3 19
14.8N  67.2W       X 35  1  X 36   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X 19  5 24
15.8N  70.7W       X  2 24  1 27   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  8 13 21
SKPG 125N 717W     X  X  4  2  6   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  4 18 22
TNCC 122N 690W     X  4  3  X  7   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X 20 20
SVMG 110N 640W     4  X  X  X  4   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X 18 18
TTPP 106N 614W     3  X  X  X  3   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  6  6
TTPT 112N 608W    21  X  X  X 21   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X 17 17
TGPY 120N 618W    44  X  X  X 44   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X 12 12
TBPB 131N 595W    83  X  X  X 83   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  5  5
TVSV 131N 612W    76  X  X  X 76   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W    71  X  X  X 71   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  5  6  X 11
TFFF 146N 610W    50  X  X  X 50   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  5  8 13
TDPR 153N 614W    31  X  X  X 31   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  5  5
80400 157N 636W   22 15  X  X 37   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  4  4
TFFR 163N 615W     8  1  X  X  9   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  3  3
TAPA 171N 618W     2  2  X  X  4   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2
TKPK 173N 627W     2  4  X  X  6   ST CROIX VI        X 11  2  X 13
TNCM 181N 631W     X  2  1  X  3   ST THOMAS VI       X  5  2  1  8
TISX 177N 648W     X 11  2  X 13   SAN JUAN PR        X  5  6  X 11
TIST 183N 650W     X  5  2  1  8   PONCE PR           X  9  8  X 17
TJPS 180N 666W     X  9  8  X 17
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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