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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane CHARLEY


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HURRICANE CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
41.0N  74.0W      25  6  X  X 31   BOSTON MA          3 22  X  X 25
44.6N  69.7W       X 19  4  X 23   PORTLAND ME        1 22  1  X 24
47.0N  65.0W       X  1 14  2 17   BAR HARBOR ME      X 15  6  X 21
SAVANNAH GA       58  X  X  X 58   EASTPORT ME        X  8 11  X 19
CHARLESTON SC     99  X  X  X 99   ST JOHN NB         X  4 13  1 18
MYRTLE BEACH SC   99  X  X  X 99   MONCTON NB         X  1 14  1 16
WILMINGTON NC     89  X  X  X 89   YARMOUTH NS        X  5 11  X 16
MOREHEAD CITY NC  60  X  X  X 60   HALIFAX NS         X  1 10  3 14
CAPE HATTERAS NC  35  X  X  X 35   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  3  6  9
NORFOLK VA        56  X  X  X 56   SYDNEY NS          X  X  4  8 12
OCEAN CITY MD     42  X  X  X 42   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  6  6 12
ATLANTIC CITY NJ  35  1  X  X 36   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  2  9 11
NEW YORK CITY NY  26  5  X  X 31   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  1  9 10
MONTAUK POINT NY  10 16  X  X 26   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  9  9
PROVIDENCE RI      6 19  X  1 26   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  7  7
NANTUCKET MA       2 17  1  X 20   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  3  3
HYANNIS MA         2 19  1  X 22
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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