Hurricane CHARLEY
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HURRICANE CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT MON AUG 16 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.4N 81.5W 48 6 X X 54 PROVIDENCE RI X X 1 9 10
35.8N 79.2W X 25 6 X 31 NANTUCKET MA X X X 8 8
40.2N 76.8W X X 16 3 19 HYANNIS MA X X X 9 9
MARATHON FL 15 X X X 15 BOSTON MA X X X 10 10
W PALM BEACH FL 3 X X X 3 PORTLAND ME X X X 9 9
FT PIERCE FL 12 X X X 12 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 6 6
COCOA BEACH FL 30 X X X 30 EASTPORT ME X X X 4 4
DAYTONA BEACH FL 54 X X X 54 ST JOHN NB X X X 3 3
JACKSONVILLE FL 58 1 X X 59 MONCTON NB X X X 2 2
SAVANNAH GA 33 17 X X 50 YARMOUTH NS X X X 3 3
CHARLESTON SC 6 34 X X 40 KEY WEST FL 99 X X X 99
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 29 1 1 31 MARCO ISLAND FL 86 X X X 86
WILMINGTON NC X 19 5 X 24 FT MYERS FL 86 X X X 86
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 8 9 X 17 VENICE FL 91 X X X 91
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 3 9 1 13 TAMPA FL 83 X X X 83
NORFOLK VA X 3 15 X 18 CEDAR KEY FL 71 X X X 71
OCEAN CITY MD X X 13 3 16 ST MARKS FL 35 1 X X 36
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 9 6 15 APALACHICOLA FL 14 X X X 14
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 5 9 14 PANAMA CITY FL 4 X X X 4
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 10 11 GULF 29N 85W 14 X X X 14
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
C FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
D FROM 8AM SUN TO 8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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