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Tropical Storm BONNIE (Text)

ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN AUG 15 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
40.0N  75.5W      30  3  X  X 33   PROVIDENCE RI      2 18  X  X 20
46.5N  70.5W       X 16  X  X 16   NANTUCKET MA       1 11  X  X 12
JACKSONVILLE FL   23  X  X  X 23   HYANNIS MA         1 13  X  X 14
SAVANNAH GA       73  X  X  X 73   BOSTON MA          1 18  X  X 19
CHARLESTON SC     44  X  X  X 44   PORTLAND ME        X 18  X  X 18
MYRTLE BEACH SC   31  X  X  X 31   BAR HARBOR ME      X 12  X  X 12
WILMINGTON NC     23  X  X  X 23   EASTPORT ME        X  8  X  X  8
MOREHEAD CITY NC  12  X  X  X 12   ST JOHN NB         X  5  X  X  5
CAPE HATTERAS NC   9  X  X  X  9   MONCTON NB         X  3  X  X  3
NORFOLK VA        33  X  X  X 33   YARMOUTH NS        X  5  X  X  5
OCEAN CITY MD     31  1  X  X 32   CEDAR KEY FL       9  X  X  X  9
ATLANTIC CITY NJ  27  4  X  X 31   ST MARKS FL       99  X  X  X 99
NEW YORK CITY NY  18 11  X  X 29   APALACHICOLA FL   99  X  X  X 99
MONTAUK POINT NY   5 15  X  X 20
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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