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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression TWO


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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON AUG 09 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT THU AUG 12 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.3N  90.3W      42  1  X  X 43   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  2 11 13
26.5N  90.2W      19  8  1  X 28   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  4 11 15
27.4N  89.5W       4 16  3  1 24   MOBILE AL          X  X  6 10 16
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2   GULFPORT MS        X  1  9  7 17
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2   BURAS LA           X  5 10  4 19
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  3 10  5 18
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3   NEW IBERIA LA      X  4  9  4 17
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  4  4   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  2  6  4 12
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  5  5   GALVESTON TX       X  2  4  4 10
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  4  4   FREEPORT TX        X  1  3  3  7
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  2  2  4
KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  2 10 12
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  7  8 16
FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 89W       1 13  5  2 21
VENICE FL          X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 91W       1 18  3  1 23
TAMPA FL           X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 93W       X 13  3  2 18
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  8  8   GULF 28N 95W       X  3  3  3  9
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X 10 10   GULF 27N 96W       X  1  1  2  4
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1 11 12   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED
C FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED
D FROM  1PM WED TO  1PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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