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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression TWO


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED AUG 04 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT AUG  7 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.8N  66.8W      51  X  X  X 51   MTPP 186N 724W     X  4 16  1 21
17.3N  69.2W       5 29  X  X 34   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X 10  3 13
19.5N  70.8W       X 11 16  1 28   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  4  7 11
TBPB 131N 595W    99  X  X  X 99   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  3  3
TVSV 131N 612W    99  X  X  X 99   TJSJ 184N 661W    14  8  X  X 22
TLPL 138N 610W    99  X  X  X 99   MDPP 198N 707W     X  9 18  X 27
TFFF 146N 610W    99  X  X  X 99   MBJT 215N 712W     X  1 17  5 23
TDPR 153N 614W    83  X  X  X 83   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  7 13 20
80400 157N 636W   75  X  X  X 75   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X 15 15
TFFR 163N 615W    15  X  X  X 15   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X 11 11
TAPA 171N 618W     2  X  X  X  2   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  5  5
TKPK 173N 627W     4  X  X  X  4   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  5  5
TISX 177N 648W    21  1  X  1 23   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
TIST 183N 650W     9  4  X  X 13   ST CROIX VI       21  1  X  1 23
TJPS 180N 666W    23  8  X  X 31   ST THOMAS VI       9  4  X  X 13
MDSD 185N 697W     X 27  4  X 31   SAN JUAN PR       14  8  X  X 22
MDCB 176N 714W     X 16  9  X 25   PONCE PR          23  8  X  X 31
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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