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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane ALEX


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HURRICANE ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED AUG 04 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SAT AUG  7 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
39.8N  63.8W      20  4  X  X 24   EDDY POINT NS      X  5  1  X  6
42.0N  58.0W       X 12  3  1 16   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  2  1  X  3
44.5N  50.0W       X  X  7  4 11   BURGEO NFLD        X  2  3  X  5
YARMOUTH NS        1  1  X  X  2   ILE ST PIERRE      X  4  5  X  9
HALIFAX NS         1  3  1  X  5   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  2  8  X 10
SABLE ISLAND NS    X 12  2  X 14   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  6  4 10
SYDNEY NS          X  4  2  X  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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