| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Storm ALEX (Text)

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON AUG 02 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT THU AUG  5 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
35.7N  74.3W      29  4  X  X 33   BOSTON MA          X  1  4  1  6
37.4N  70.7W       X 17  7  X 24   PORTLAND ME        X  X  3  1  4
39.9N  64.6W       X  X 10  3 13   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  3  2  5
BERMUDA            X  X  2  2  4   EASTPORT ME        X  X  3  2  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC   29  X  X  X 29   ST JOHN NB         X  X  2  4  6
WILMINGTON NC     56  X  X  X 56   MONCTON NB         X  X  1  4  5
MOREHEAD CITY NC  52  X  X  X 52   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  5  3  8
CAPE HATTERAS NC  40  X  X  X 40   HALIFAX NS         X  X  2  6  8
NORFOLK VA        17  4  X  X 21   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  1  8  9
OCEAN CITY MD      4 11  1  X 16   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  7  7
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  8  2  X 10   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  1  7  8
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  4  2  X  6   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  6  6
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  3  5  1  9   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  6  6
PROVIDENCE RI      X  1  6  X  7   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  7  7
NANTUCKET MA       X  1  9  1 11   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  6  6
HYANNIS MA         X  1  7  1  9   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN