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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression ONE


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT JUL 31 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE AUG  3 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.5N  79.0W      32  1  X  X 33   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  6  7 13
34.5N  77.5W      13  6  2  X 21   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  2 10 12
36.0N  75.0W       X  3 10  3 16   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X 10 10
BERMUDA            X  X  X  3  3   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  9  9
JACKSONVILLE FL    3  1  X  X  4   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  8  8
SAVANNAH GA       30  1  X  X 31   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  7  7
CHARLESTON SC     46  X  X  1 47   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  7  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC   30  1  X  X 31   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  6  6
WILMINGTON NC     18  4  1  X 23   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC   6  9  4  1 20   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   1  7  8  2 18   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
NORFOLK VA         X  3 10  3 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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