Tropical Storm KAY

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142004
0900Z WED OCT 06 2004
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 116.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.2N 118.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.3N 120.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.3N 121.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.4N 123.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 16.5N 131.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 16.5N 135.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 117.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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