Hurricane JAVIER

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HURRICANE JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132004
0900Z SAT SEP 18 2004
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM
BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 113.0W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 113.0W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 112.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 24.5N 113.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 26.8N 113.6W...INLAND WESTERN BAJA
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 65NE  65SE  65SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 29.3N 113.0W...OVER SEA OF CORTEZ
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.6N 112.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 113.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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