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Hurricane JAVIER (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL CCA
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132004
0300Z FRI SEP 17 2004

...CORRECTED...ADD 12 FOOT SEAS...
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JAVIER.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 111.3W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 328 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 111.3W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 111.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.7N 111.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.8N 112.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.8N 113.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 25.3N 114.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 28.7N 114.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 31.6N 113.3W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 34.1N 111.1W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 111.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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