ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132004 2100Z TUE SEP 14 2004 INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JAVIER. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.8W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 936 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT. 64 KT....... 55NE 55SE 55SW 55NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.8W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 107.7W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.7N 108.1W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 55SE 55SW 55NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N 108.8W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.2N 109.5W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 23.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 26.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 107.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 14-Sep-2004 20:56:05 UTC