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Tropical Storm ISIS


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TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122004
0300Z THU SEP 09 2004

...CORRECT MAJOR GARBLING...
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 111.5W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 85SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 111.5W AT 09/0300Z 
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 111.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.0N 111.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.6N 113.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.1N 115.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.3N 123.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 19.8N 129.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 20.3N 136.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 111.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN/HENNON
 
 
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