Tropical Depression TWELVE-E

ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122004
1500Z WED SEP 08 2004
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 111.3W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 111.3W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 110.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.4N 112.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.9N 114.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 18.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 18.5N 135.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 111.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
$$
NNNN