Hurricane HOWARD
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HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112004
1500Z THU SEP 02 2004
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 113.6W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 113.6W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 113.3W
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.8N 114.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.7N 115.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.7N 116.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.9N 117.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 27.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 28.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 113.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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