Tropical Storm GEORGETTE

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TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102004
0900Z FRI AUG 27 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 110.6W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 55NE  55SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 55NE  55SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 110.6W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 110.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.4N 112.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  55SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.8N 117.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.0N 119.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 20.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 20.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 110.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
 
 
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