Tropical Storm ESTELLE

ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072004
2100Z FRI AUG 20 2004

...CORRECTED TO ADD 12 FT SEAS...
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 138.8W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 138.8W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 138.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 14.7N 140.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.5N 142.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.3N 144.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.8N 146.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.0N 151.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 17.0N 154.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 16.5N 157.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 138.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA
 
 
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