Tropical Depression SEVEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072004
2100Z THU AUG 19 2004
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 134.5W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 134.5W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 134.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.8N 136.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 13.8N 138.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 14.9N 140.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.9N 142.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.5N 145.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 16.5N 149.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 16.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 134.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA
 
 
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