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Hurricane DARBY (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052004
0900Z THU JUL 29 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 126.8W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 126.8W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 126.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.6N 128.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.3N 130.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.8N 132.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 19.1N 135.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 19.5N 140.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 20.0N 145.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 20.0N 150.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 126.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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