ZCZC MIATCMEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042004 0300Z TUE JUL 20 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 116.5W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 65NE 65SE 65SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 65NE 65SE 65SW 65NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 116.5W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 116.2W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.4N 117.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.9N 119.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.4N 121.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.6N 123.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.3N 126.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 65NE 65SE 65SW 65NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 17.6N 130.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 18.0N 134.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 116.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z FORECASTER JARVINEN $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 20-Jul-2004 02:32:19 UTC