Tropical Depression FOUR-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042004
0300Z MON JUL 19 2004
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.7W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.7W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.5N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.6N 117.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.7N 119.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.8N 121.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 15.1N 132.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 15.2N 136.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 113.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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