Tropical Storm BLAS

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TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032004
1500Z WED JUL 14 2004

CORRECTED FOR THE INITIAL MOTION...
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 117.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE 100SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 117.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 116.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 23.4N 119.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 24.0N 121.1W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.5N 123.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 24.8N 124.7W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.0N 128.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 25.0N 130.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 117.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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